Opening View: Futures Flat Ahead of October Jobs Data

U.S. stock futures hover near breakeven ahead of the October employment report

by Joseph Hargett (jhargett@sir-inc.com) 11/6/2009 8:03 AM


The bulls are holding their breath this morning, as Wall Street awaits the release of October's nonfarm payrolls report and the unemployment rate. U.S. stock futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average are up 7 points at 9,970, or about 2 points above fair value. Analysts are forecasting a loss of 150,000 jobs in October, the 22nd such decline in employment, but better than September's drop of 263,000. Furthermore, October's unemployment rate is seen rising to 9.9% from 9.8% in September, with some economists predicting a jump to 10% or even 10.1%.

In currencies and commodities, the U.S. Dollar Index is trading basically flat, having fallen a mere 0.03% to hover near 75.72 in pre-market activity. Meanwhile, the December gold futures contract has posted a slight gain, adding $4.00 to trade at $1,093.30 an ounce. Finally, crude oil for December delivery is off 5 cents at $79.60 per barrel in electronic trading.

In earnings news, American International Group Inc. (AIG) said that it swung to a third-quarter profit of $455 million, or 68 cents per share, from a loss of $24.5 billion, $181.02 per share, in the year-ago period. On an adjusted basis, net income was $1.9 billion, compared with an adjusted net loss of $9.2 billion in the third quarter of 2008. Total revenue rose to $26.05 billion from $898 million. However, analysts were looking for a profit of $1.20 per share. The stock was down some 6%, at last check, in pre-market trading following the report.

Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) reported that its fourth-quarter net income rose to $150 million, or 20 cents per share, compared with a net income of $5.4 million, or a penny per share, in the year-earlier period. Sales fell 4% to $2.42 billion. Excluding restructuring charges, Starbucks said it earned 24 cents per share. Same-store sales fell 1% during the quarter. For 2010, the company increased its earnings growth target, excluding charges.

Activision Blizzard Inc. (ATVI) swung to a third-quarter profit of $15 million, or a penny per share, from a net loss of $108 million, or 8 cents per share, for the same period the previous year. Excluding certain charges, the company said it would have earned 4 cents per share for the quarter. Net revenue dipped 1% to $703 million. Excluding revenue that was deferred from the sale of certain games, the company said revenue would have been $755 million.

Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) reported a third-quarter profit of $107.58 million, or 19 cents per share, compared with a profit of $61.75 million, or 11 cents per share, for the year-earlier period. Revenue was $903.21 million, up from $897.66 million for the same quarter last year. Adjusted income was 19 cents per share.

Earnings Preview

The earnings calendar thins out as we close out the week, with only Edison International (EIX) and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) reporting earnings. Keep your browser at SchaeffersResearch.com throughout the day for more.

Economic Calendar

We end the week with a bang on the economic front, as September's wholesale inventories, September's consumer credit report, and the coup de grâce, October's nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, average work week, and hourly earnings.

Market Statistics

Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) saw 1,307,806 call contracts traded on Thursday, compared to 827,751 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio arrived at 0.63, while the 21-day moving average rose to 0.61.

Volatility indices

NYSE and Nasdaq summary

**The volume data shown above is from the Nasdaq and NYSE exchanges only. It does not include regional volume activity, which means that other daily volume quotes you see may be higher.**

Dow, S&P and Nasdaq futures

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