SandRidge Energy Inc. (SD: sentiment, chart, options) is attracting bullish attention from option players ahead of its upcoming turn in the earnings spotlight. During the past five days, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) have bought to open 6,393 calls on SD, compared to just 69 puts. In other words, nearly 93 times more calls than puts have been purchased within the past week.
Looking back over the past two weeks' worth of data, SD sports a slightly tamer 10-day ISE call/put volume ratio of 12.13, as speculators have snapped up more than a dozen calls for every put during this time frame. This ratio ranks in the 84th annual percentile, revealing that traders have rarely purchased calls over puts at a faster pace.
Despite the recent rush to buy calls, SD's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) is lingering in pessimistic territory. The current SOIR of 0.84 ranks in the 91st annual percentile, indicating that short-term traders have been more bearishly aligned only 9% of the time during the past year.
Having noted the relatively high SOIR reading, it's worth mentioning that this indicator has declined from its Oct. 19 post-expiration perch of 0.90, in the 95th annual percentile. In other words, the level of skepticism among near-term speculators has dropped slightly in recent weeks, and buy-to-open data from the ISE suggests we could see a continuation of this trend.
In the November series, the most popular strike is currently SD's 12.50 put, with 5,032 contracts in residence. On the other hand, peak call open interest consists of 3,901 contracts at the November 15 strike. With SD trading near $10.42 today, put players are favoring a more conservative, in-the-money approach. Meanwhile, call players appear to be wagering on a short-term jump for the security.
Alternatively, it's possible that option players aren't feeling especially upbeat toward the stock at all, and instead, the recent influx of call buying has been driven by short sellers looking to hedge their bets ahead of earnings. Short interest on SD surged by 14.4% during the past month, and now accounts for a lofty 22.8% of the equity's available float.
With SD scheduled to unveil its third-quarter earnings after the market closes this Thursday, Nov. 5, it's possible that shorts are covering their bearish bets by purchasing long, out-of-the-money calls. The company has exceeded analysts' consensus profit estimates in each of the previous four reporting periods, giving the bears just cause to feel anxious ahead of the event.
From a technical perspective, SD has endured some choppy price action in 2009. The shares are up more than 66% year-to-date, easily besting the broader equities market. However, the stock has pulled back significantly from its recently tapped annual high of $15, and its 20-day relative strength reading versus the S&P 500 Index (SPX) now stands at a rather unimpressive 82.8%.
As a result of its unsteady price action, SD has recently breached support from its 32-week moving average. Last Friday marked the stock's first weekly finish beneath this trendline since late April, and this level could now switch roles to act as resistance. In fact, this moving average has already capped the stock's progress in today's session -- SD's intraday peak was $10.65, right in line with the trendline's current perch.
On the plus side, SD is still resting above support from its 10-month moving average. The shares have now managed four consecutive monthly closes atop this former resistance level. With this trendline rising toward the $10 region, SD shouldn't have much trouble maintaining its foothold in double-digit territory.
Plus, if the company continues its winning streak in the earnings spotlight, SD stands to gain substantially from a potential short-squeeze situation. At the stock's average daily volume, it would take more than six trading days for all of the shorted SD shares to be covered. In other words, another upside surprise from the energy issue could spark a mass exodus among bearish bettors.
Discuss this article:
Post your own comment
More articles:
Puts are quickly becoming the options of choice on Chevron Corporation (CVX: sentiment, chart, options). On Thursday, speculators on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) bought to open 3,102 puts on the oil major, compared to just 400 calls. The stock's single-day put/call volume ratio arrived at 7.76, as traders snapped up nearly eight times more puts than calls. read more...
Warner Chilcott Plc (WCRX: sentiment, chart, options) has become a favorite target of put players. During the past 10 days, speculators on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) have bought to open 2.90 puts for every call on WCRX. In other words, bearish bets have nearly tripled their bullish counterparts during the past two weeks. This reading ranks in the 100th annual percentile, revealing that traders are purchasing puts over calls at a more rapid pace than any other time during the past year. read more...
Put options have rarely been more popular on Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU: sentiment, chart, options). On Tuesday, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) bought to open 1,970 puts on BTU, compared to just 162 calls. The stock's single-day put/call volume ratio of 12.16 reveals that speculative investors scooped up more than a dozen bearish bets for every bullish contract. read more...
Call options are steadily gaining popularity on United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG: sentiment, chart, options). On Monday, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) bought to open 4,252 calls on the exchange-traded fund (ETF), compared to 1,557 puts. In short, nearly three times more calls than puts were purchased. read more...
Apple Inc. (AAPL: sentiment, chart, options) is becoming a favorite target of call players. On Monday, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) bought to open 17,088 calls on the iPhone parent, compared to just 4,079 puts. In other words, speculators snapped up 4.19 times more bullish bets than bearish. read more...
Buy-to-open call volume has been steadily building on Rosetta Resources Inc. (ROSE: sentiment, chart, options). During the past 10 days, speculators on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) have bought to open 163.46 calls for every put on the equity, revealing a hefty skew toward bullish bets over their bearish counterparts. This ratio ranks higher than all other such readings taken during the past year, indicating that traders have attained an annual optimistic peak. read more...
Bearish sentiment appears to be rising toward VMware, Inc. (VMW: sentiment, chart, options). On Friday, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) bought to open 1,551 puts on VMW, compared to just 165 calls. The stock's single-day put/call volume ratio of 9.40 reveals that bearish option buys easily outpaced their bullish counterparts. read more...
Put volume has been accelerating lately on Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX: sentiment, chart, options). During the past 10 days, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) have bought to open 0.94 put for every call on FCX. While calls purchased have narrowly outnumbered puts during the past two weeks, this ratio actually ranks higher than 81.1% of other such readings taken during the previous year. In other words, option traders have snapped up puts over calls at a faster pace only about 19% of the time. read more...
Calls have been the options of choice lately on Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS: sentiment, chart, options). On Thursday, Nov. 12, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) bought to open 4,113 calls on GS, compared to 3,829 puts. The equity's single-day call/put volume ratio of 1.07 indicates that bullishly oriented options were in slightly greater demand than their bearish counterparts. read more...
Call volume has been unusually heavy lately on Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO: sentiment, chart, options). In fact, on Wednesday alone, call activity surged to 37 times the usual levels, with 27,000 contracts crossing the tape. Yesterday's activity was no anomaly, though -- the International Securities Exchange (ISE) reports that traders have bought to open 19,953 calls on AGO during the past five days, compared to just four puts. read more...
Today's Most Popular Stories