Schaeffer's Top Stock Picks for '25

Deutsche Bank AG (USA) (DB) Option Bears Brace for Lower Lows

Deutsche Bank AG (USA) (NYSE:DB) hit a record low earlier, as "Brexit" anxiety ramps up

Jul 6, 2016 at 2:27 PM
facebook X logo linkedin


It's been a sharp fall from grace for Deutsche Bank AG (USA) (NYSE:DB), with the shares down 3.7% at $12.91 -- and fresh off a record low of $12.50. As a point of comparison, DB stock was trading in the $30 range one year ago. Aiding the European bank stock in its more recent decline has been increasing "Brexit" anxiety, while earnings-related issues sent the shares tumbling in March. Meanwhile, the company just announced the departure of one top exec, while reports are swirling over the possible sale of at least $1 billion in shipping assets. Against this unstable backdrop, options traders have been growing increasingly uneasy.

Today, in fact, DB puts are crossing the tape at three times the expected intraday rate -- and outpacing calls by a 4-to-1 margin. Plus, with 32,929 puts traded, put volume is in the 99th annual percentile. It looks as if a number of put traders are betting on even lower lows for the bank stock, with buy-to-open activity detected at DB's August 11 and 12 strikes.

More broadly speaking, option buyers have shown a preference for puts over calls in recent weeks. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), speculative players have bought to open 34,774 DB puts versus 16,675 calls, resulting in a top-heavy put/call volume ratio of 2.09.

Echoing this heavy put-skew is DB's gamma-weighted Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 2.37, meaning near-the-money puts more than double calls among options expiring in three months or less. Plus, the stock's put open interest hit a 52-week peak of 583,448 contracts yesterday.

This skepticism isn't confined to the options pits, either. Short interest surged 18.7% in the most recent reporting period to 5.2 million shares -- the loftiest amount of shorted DB shares since March 2009. Plus, analysts have been quick to readjust their ratings amid the stock's decline. Currently, each of the three brokerage firm covering Deutsche Bank AG (USA) (NYSE:DB) call it a "hold" or "strong sell."

Sign up now for Schaeffer's Market Recap to get all the day's big stock movers, must-know technical  levels, and top economic stories straight to your inbox.
 
 

Which of These SUB-$5 Stocks Could 26x From Here? (AD)

He called a rare 11x on Tesla…

Then he called a 26x on Workhorse…

Then an even rarer 35x on Nio Inc…

Now Tim Bohen says these 5 tiny “America First” stocks are next up in 2025.

They’re trading for less than $5 right now.

But thanks to Elon & Trump’s new alliance…

They could be off to the races in Trump’s first 100 days.

And right now for a limited time…

You can get the names & tickers for just $1 here. (AD)

10 Stock Picks FREE
 
 

Featured Articles from Trusted Partners:

🚀 One Stock Pick Could Change Everything in 2025
What if one stock pick could define your success next year? Get 10 expert-vetted stocks set for 2025—plus 5 bonus picks to watch now. Get the Report →

🆕 New Options Need New Trading Strategies
Zero-DTE options are the newest (and hottest) options to trade.  Professional traders have rushed into the market and are making a mint.  Don’t get left behind - learn all about these options, how to trade them, market setups to profit from, plus much more. Download now →

👀 Revealed: 3 Defensive Stocks for Your Portfolio
Worried about the market? This free report reveals 3 under-the-radar defensive stocks for uncertain times in any kind of economy.

 

 
 

FREE Report Download

 

Follow us on X, Follow us on Twitter