Schaeffer's Top Stock Picks for '25

Options Traders Shift Gears On Ford Motor Company's (F) Post-Earnings Skid

Ford Motor Company (F) is sliding down the charts after a less-than-glowing earnings report

Jan 26, 2017 at 2:48 PM
facebook X logo linkedin


Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) reported quarterly earnings this morning, matching analysts' estimates, even after changes to its plans for a small car plant in Mexico led to a $200 million hit. The shares have dropped off 3.1% to $12.40, even after CEO Mark Fields' upbeat comments regarding a recent meeting with President Donald Trump. Today's price action may be a direct result of the overblown optimism heading into the automaker's earnings -- a notion reflected by today's less-than-bullish options action.

In recent weeks, speculators have been targeting F calls at a near-extreme rate. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), for instance, nearly four of the stock's call options have been purchased for each put over the last 10 sessions. The resulting call/put volume ratio of 3.96 ranks higher than 93% of all readings from the last 12 months. Likewise, F's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 0.34 is just 1 percentile from an annual low -- indicating near-term options traders have almost never been more call-heavy in the past year.

Digging down, F is among the stocks that saw the highest options volume over the last two weeks, with more than 637,000 calls and nearly 194,000 puts changing hands. The March 12 call and weekly 1/27 13-strike call saw the largest rises in open interest over the period, with notable buy-to-open action spotted at each.

Today, calls are crossing the tape at about 1.5 times the typical intraday rate, with the March 12 call topping the action. But it appears many of these contracts are being closed today. Meanwhile, some traders seem to be purchasing new positions at the weekly 2/3 12.50-strike put. The put buyers are betting on F shares continuing their slide below the $12.50 level through next Friday's close, when the weekly options expire. Near-term options buyers are likely looking to benefit from a post-earnings volatility crush, as F's 30-day at-the-money implied volatility is now in the low 17th percentile of its annual range, at 21.8%.

Technically speaking, F doesn't have much to brag about -- today's slide has the stock up just 0.5% on a year-over-year basis. Still, the shares are holding onto support above the rising 60-day moving average, which currently corresponds with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of Ford Motor Company's (NYSE:F) 2016 lows and highs.

F Daily Chart January 26

Sign up now for Schaeffer's Market Recap to get all the day's big stock movers, must-know technical levels, and top economic stories straight to your inbox.
 
 

Which of These SUB-$5 Stocks Could 26x From Here? (AD)

He called a rare 11x on Tesla…

Then he called a 26x on Workhorse…

Then an even rarer 35x on Nio Inc…

Now Tim Bohen says these 5 tiny “America First” stocks are next up in 2025.

They’re trading for less than $5 right now.

But thanks to Elon & Trump’s new alliance…

They could be off to the races in Trump’s first 100 days.

And right now for a limited time…

You can get the names & tickers for just $1 here. (AD)

10 Stock Picks FREE
 
 

Featured Articles from Trusted Partners:

🚀 One Stock Pick Could Change Everything in 2025
What if one stock pick could define your success next year? Get 10 expert-vetted stocks set for 2025—plus 5 bonus picks to watch now. Get the Report →

🆕 New Options Need New Trading Strategies
Zero-DTE options are the newest (and hottest) options to trade.  Professional traders have rushed into the market and are making a mint.  Don’t get left behind - learn all about these options, how to trade them, market setups to profit from, plus much more. Download now →

👀 Revealed: 3 Defensive Stocks for Your Portfolio
Worried about the market? This free report reveals 3 under-the-radar defensive stocks for uncertain times in any kind of economy.

 

 
 

FREE Report Download

 

Follow us on X, Follow us on Twitter