Schaeffer's Top Stock Picks for '25

Why Wall Street Should Root for a Boring MLB All-Star Game

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) does better when this league wins the MLB All-Star Game

Jul 14, 2015 at 3:42 PM
facebook X logo linkedin


Here in Cincinnati, All-Star Fever is palpable, especially after Reds 3B Todd Frazier's hometown Home Run Derby win last night -- a feat not accomplished since the last time the Reds won the World Series. We know the All-Star Game -- set to take place at Great American Ballpark tonight -- has home-field-advantage implications for the World Series, but does it also have implications for Wall Street? It seems so. 

The All-Star Game has been a tradition since 1933. There have been just two ties, and there was no game in 1945 because of WWII. 

After crunching the numbers, Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White determined that the S&P 500 Index (SPX) does significantly better when the National League wins the All-Star Game -- a feat that's happened 43 times, compared to 40 American League wins. In fact, the SPX averages a rest-of-year return of 4.36% -- nearly triple the average of 1.61% after an American League victory.

150714MLB1 

But don't just root for a National League win tonight. You should also hope for a relatively boring game. When there are five or fewer runs scored in the All-Star Game, the SPX has averaged a rest-of-year return of 6.4%, and has been positive 80% of the time! For comparison, the broad-market barometer averages a 2.6% return after games with 6-9 runs, and just a 0.2% return following games with 10 or more runs.

150714MLB2

 
 

You have the chance to join one of Bernie's most exclusive programs, complete access at HUGE savings!

As we prepare for a new administration to take the reins in Washington, the near-term market landscape is rife with uncertainty.

The Federal Reserve has already hinted at the turbulence ahead, lowering its interest rate outlook for 2025.

Meanwhile, breakthroughs in artificial intelligence (AI), quantum computing, and other transformative sectors have unlocked incredible profit potential.

But these opportunities are fleeting, and timing is everything. That's where Quick-Hit Trader comes in.

Quick-Hit Trader is designed for precision and speed, getting you in and out of the market in a flash. While other investors scramble to navigate volatile conditions, you'll have access to expertly curated trades that leverage these rapid shifts to deliver explosive profits in short order.

This is your chance to capitalize on the fast-moving market like never before. Are you ready to make your move?

 

 

(function(doc, script) { var js, fjs = doc.getElementsByTagName(script)[0], frag = doc.createDocumentFragment(), add = function(url, id) { if (doc.getElementById(id)) {return;} js = doc.createElement(script); js.src = url; id && (js.id = id); frag.appendChild( js ); }; // Google+ button //add('https://apis.google.com/js/platform.js', async="defer"); // Facebook SDK add('//connect.facebook.net/en_US/all.js#xfbml=1&appId=772755279557744', 'facebook-jssdk'); // Twitter SDK //add('//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js', charset='utf-8'); fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(frag, fjs); }(document, 'script'));