Schaeffer's Top Stock Picks for '25

2 Reasons AMD Stock is at Risk for a Short-Term Swoon

AMD stock is currently overbought, according to its RSI

May 23, 2018 at 2:46 PM
facebook X logo linkedin


The U.S. stock market will be closed next Monday, May 28, for Memorial Day, and the holiday-shortened week has been bullish for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) over the long term. This pair of Apple suppliers have been notable outperformers during the four-day trading week, though fellow chip stock Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) can't say the same.

In fact, according to data from Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, AMD has been one of the worst SPX stocks during Memorial Day week, averaging a loss of 2.51% over the last decade. What's more, the semiconductor concern has finished the week with a gain just once.

A move of this magnitude would put a small dent in AMD's recent price action. Since hitting an annual low of $9.04 in early April, the stock has gained more than 44%. Today, Advanced Micro Devices is up 0.5% to trade at $13.05 -- on track for its highest close since Feb. 1. As such, the security's 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) was last seen well into overbought territory at 74.9, which heightens the chance for a near-term retreat.

amd stock price chart may 23

There's plenty of skeptics bracing for a pullback, too. AMD's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.07 ranks in the 81st annual percentile, meaning short-term speculators are more put-skewed than usual. Data from the major options exchanges shows significant buy-to-open activity at the July 9 and 10 puts, though some of this could be protective in nature.

Plus, although short interest pulled back from its mid-April peak in the most recent reporting period, there are still 179.4 million shares sold short. This accounts for more than one-fifth of AMD stock's available float, or three times the average daily pace of trading. And while some bullish brokerage buzz is starting to swirl, the majority of analysts still maintain a "hold" or "strong sell" rating.

Whether traders want to bet on continued upside for AMD stock, or roll the dice on a pullback, it's an opportune time to do so with options. The equity's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 36% ranks in the lowest percentile of its annual range, indicating premium on short-term strikes is relatively cheap at the moment, from a volatility standpoint.

 
 

Which of These SUB-$5 Stocks Could 26x From Here? (AD)

He called a rare 11x on Tesla…

Then he called a 26x on Workhorse…

Then an even rarer 35x on Nio Inc…

Now Tim Bohen says these 5 tiny “America First” stocks are next up in 2025.

They’re trading for less than $5 right now.

But thanks to Elon & Trump’s new alliance…

They could be off to the races in Trump’s first 100 days.

And right now for a limited time…

You can get the names & tickers for just $1 here. (AD)

10 Stock Picks FREE
 
 

Featured Articles from Trusted Partners:

🚀 One Stock Pick Could Change Everything in 2025
What if one stock pick could define your success next year? Get 10 expert-vetted stocks set for 2025—plus 5 bonus picks to watch now. Get the Report →

🆕 New Options Need New Trading Strategies
Zero-DTE options are the newest (and hottest) options to trade.  Professional traders have rushed into the market and are making a mint.  Don’t get left behind - learn all about these options, how to trade them, market setups to profit from, plus much more. Download now →

👀 Revealed: 3 Defensive Stocks for Your Portfolio
Worried about the market? This free report reveals 3 under-the-radar defensive stocks for uncertain times in any kind of economy.

 

 
 

FREE Report Download

 

Follow us on X, Follow us on Twitter