Nvidia will announce fourth-quarter results after tomorrow's close
Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) is gearing up for its fourth-quarter report, due out after the close tomorrow, Feb. 26. NVDA typically has a strong earnings showing, closing six of its last eight post-earnings sessions higher, and yet it's still sliding ahead of the event, gathering plenty of attention from investors.
The stock's upward momentum has slowed over the past few months, with concerns swirling over China's artificial intelligence (AI) breakthroughs and the potential for slowing demand from key customers. Per Wolfe Research, this report is a "make or break" moment for the chip darling.
At last glance, NVDA was down 1.8% at $127.95. The shares are headed for their third-straight loss as they fall further from their Jan. 7 record high of $153.13. The tech stock added 171.2% in 2024, and 238.9% in 2023, but since the start of 2025, it is down 4%.
The options pits are pricing in a 15.2% post-earnings move this time around, regardless of direction. Over the last two years, the security has averaged a 9.2% next-day swing.
Nvidia is consistently a favorite amongst options traders, yesterday topping Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White's list of stocks with the highest options volume in the past 10 days. So far today, 1.3 million calls and 1.2 million puts have been traded, with the most activity at the weekly 2/28 140-strike call.
These options are reasonably priced, too. NVDA's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 70% ranks in the low 19th percentile of its annual range, meaning options traders are pricing in low volatility expectations.