Schaeffer's Top Stock Picks for '25

Using Options to Find Investor Sentiment Extremes

What a stock's put/call open interest ratio can, and can't, tell us about sentiment

Managing Editor
Feb 8, 2018 at 3:03 PM
    facebook X logo linkedin


    Option open interest is the number of outstanding calls or puts that have been bought or sold to open, but have yet to expire or be closed. To analyze stocks, we often use option open interest as a means of measuring the relative levels of investor optimism and pessimism. More specifically, we utilize the Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) as a sentiment indicator to gauge near-term traders' expectations. Below, we will review the basics of the SOIR, while looking at examples of stocks with extreme SOIR readings right now.

    SOIR Basics

    The SOIR measures short-term options open interest, comparing the number of open put contracts to the number of open call contracts that are set to expire in the next three months. A stock's SOIR lets us see how traders with short-term objectives are positioning themselves in terms of being call- or put-heavy.

    More specifically, a SOIR reading above 1.0 means that puts are more prevalent than calls among near-term options. On the other end of the scale, readings below 1.0 indicate that calls are more popular.

    Even more telling, perhaps, is where the SOIR for a given security stands relative to its own 52-week range, as this indicates whether near-term traders are favoring puts or calls by a wider-than-usual margin. A SOIR with an annual percentile rank of 0% reveals that calls are currently outnumbering puts by an extreme margin, while a SOIR above 100% of the past year's worth of readings suggests short-term traders are favoring puts over calls at a climactic rate. 

    However, it should be noted that the SOIR includes both bought and sold options. As such, this metric should be used in concert with other technical and sentiment indicators to paint the fullest possible picture.

    Stocks With Extreme SOIRs

    Looking at only stocks that carry at least 10,000 contracts of open interest, below is a list of equities with extremely high or low SOIRs right now, with data provided by Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White.

    Agilent Technologies (NYSE:A) stock's SOIR sits at a lofty 8.74, and ranks in the 100th percentile of its annual range. In plain words, this means that near-term options traders were unusually put-skewed toward the stock, compared to the past year, as of Feb. 6.

    Highest SOIR Percentage Feb 2018

    Switching to the stocks with the lowest SOIR percentages, we will narrow in on exchange operator CME Group (NASDAQ:CME). Ranking in the lowest possible percentile for its annual range, CME's SOIR of 0.33 is a clear indicator that short-term speculators have rarely been more call-skewed toward the stock during the past 12 months.

    Lowest SOIR Percentage Feb 2018

    It's vital to keep in mind that no indicator, taken out of context, offers a complete picture of options activity. Open interest configurations can be revealing in many ways, but it's important to use this data point as just one of many tools as you analyze potential trade candidates. 

     
     

    Which of These SUB-$5 Stocks Could 26x From Here? (AD)

    He called a rare 11x on Tesla…

    Then he called a 26x on Workhorse…

    Then an even rarer 35x on Nio Inc…

    Now Tim Bohen says these 5 tiny “America First” stocks are next up in 2025.

    They’re trading for less than $5 right now.

    But thanks to Elon & Trump’s new alliance…

    They could be off to the races in Trump’s first 100 days.

    And right now for a limited time…

    You can get the names & tickers for just $1 here. (AD)

    10 Stock Picks FREE
     
     

    Featured Articles from Trusted Partners:

    🚀 One Stock Pick Could Change Everything in 2025
    What if one stock pick could define your success next year? Get 10 expert-vetted stocks set for 2025—plus 5 bonus picks to watch now. Get the Report →

    🆕 New Options Need New Trading Strategies
    Zero-DTE options are the newest (and hottest) options to trade.  Professional traders have rushed into the market and are making a mint.  Don’t get left behind - learn all about these options, how to trade them, market setups to profit from, plus much more. Download now →

    👀 Revealed: 3 Defensive Stocks for Your Portfolio
    Worried about the market? This free report reveals 3 under-the-radar defensive stocks for uncertain times in any kind of economy.

     

     
     

    FREE Report Download

     

    Follow us on X, Follow us on Twitter