Earnings Season Highlights

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A collection of noteworthy post-earnings reactions
Published on Apr 25, 2025 at 12:16 PM
  • Midday Market Check

Wall Street is mixed this afternoon as investors react to tech earnings and more tariff talk out of Washington. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) is down over 200 points, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is in red territory, and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) is higher. For the week, however, all three major benchmarks are still headed for wins.

Alphabet (GOOGL) stock is up after a strong quarterly report, but Intel's (INTC) latest updates are curbing optimism. President Trump’s recent interview with Time magazine added some pressure, as he floated the idea of 20% to 50% tariffs on foreign imports a year from now, while denying that bond market volatility influenced his temporary tariff pause.

Continue reading for more on today's market, including: 

  • How Alphabet fared in the earnings confessional.
  • Why options traders love these 2 pharma stocks.
  • Plus, RGTI options red-hot; TSLA extends rally; and INTC slides on weak guidance.

Midday Market Stats April 252025

Rigetti Computing Inc (NASDAQ:RGTI) stock is seeing unusual options activity today, with more than 70,000 calls and 34,000 puts exchanged -- 3 times the average intraday volume. New positions are opening at the top three most popular contracts, led by the weekly 4/25 10-strike call, which expires after today's close. While a catalyst remains unclear, interest in quantum computing stocks has been rising, fueling speculative activity in the space. RGTI is down 2.6% to trade at $9.07 at last check, but sports a 682.9% year-over-year lead.

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) is one of the best-performing stocks this afternoon, last seen 8.8% higher at $282.33. Shares of the electric vehicle (EV) giant on track for a fourth-straight daily gain, with a recent positive post-earnings reaction and today’s rally helping it chip away at its steep 30.5% year-to-date loss.

TSLA Chart April 252025

Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC) is among today's worst stocks, last seen down 7.4% at $19.91. The chipmaker is sliding after issuing disappointing guidance for the current quarter, forecasting revenue of $11.8 billion at the midpoint -- below the $12.82 billion consensus, per LSEG. Intel also expects to break even on earnings and announced plans to reduce both operational and capital expenses. INTC is now trading inches above its year-to-date breakeven mark.

Published on Apr 25, 2025 at 10:57 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Wireless network stock T-Mobile US Inc (NASDAQ:TMUS) is down 9.2% at $238.17 at last glance, brushing off better-than-expected first-quarter earnings and revenue after disappointing subscriber growth. The company added 495,000 monthly bill-paying customers, outperforming AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ), but the figure fell short of analysts' estimated 506,400. 

The 160-day moving average, which TMUS hasn't dropped below since October 2023, lingers just below as support for today's bear gap. Moving further from its March 3 record high of $276.49, the shares are now down 8.2% year-to-date. 

In the options pits, TMUS has seen 8,179 calls and 17,000 puts exchanged so far, which is more than double the average daily options volume already. The weekly 5/2 227.50-strike put is the most active contract, followed by the 235-strike put in the same series, with new positions opening at both. 

On the analyst front, the only firm to chime in after the event was RBC Capital, which raised its price target to $265 from $260. Of the 30 analysts in coverage, 19 carry a "buy" or better rating, while the 12-month consensus price target of $269.68 sits at a 14.2% premium to current levels (though it's a small discount to last month's record highs). 

Published on Apr 25, 2025 at 10:32 AM
Updated on Apr 25, 2025 at 10:56 AM
  • Intraday Option Activity
  • Buzz Stocks
 
Published on Apr 25, 2025 at 10:22 AM
  • Intraday Option Activity
  • Buzz Stocks
 
Published on Apr 25, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Updated on Apr 25, 2025 at 9:19 AM
  • Opening View
 
Published on Apr 24, 2025 at 4:26 PM
  • Market Recap
 
Published on Apr 24, 2025 at 2:11 PM
  • Buzz Stocks

Airline stocks are in focus today, after sector stalwarts American Airlines Group Inc (NASDAQ:AAL) and Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) stepped into the earnings confessional. Both airliners reported a smaller-than-expected first-quarter loss and withdrew their full-year guidance, mirroring Delta Air Lines (DAL) and United Airlines (UAL) amid an increasingly murky U.S. economic outlook.

AAL was last seen up 2.5% to trade at $9.56, consolidating around its April 4, nearly five-year low of $8.50. The shares are 45% lower in 2025 and down 31% year over year, with the descending 20-day moving average keeping a lid on rallies since a late January post-earnings bear gap. LUV, meanwhile, is 2.7% higher today to trade at $26.21, but is down 22% in 2025 and almost 11% year-over-year.

AAL, LUV Chart

The chart above shows similar technical profiles, but the stocks differ in two areas. First, AAL is more of a downgrade risk going forward. Of the 20 brokerages covering AAL, 11 maintain a "buy" or better rating, with only one "sell" on the books. Plus, the consensus 12-month price target of $56.30 is a 54% premium from its current perch. Analysts are more in tune with struggling Southwest, with the majority carrying a "hold" rating. 

Options traders' strategy should also differ, depending on the stock. AAL tended to outperformed options traders' volatility expectations in the last year, per its Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 96 out of 100. LUV, meanwhile, sports a SVS of 1 out of 100, making a premium-selling strategy the prudent move. 

Published on Apr 24, 2025 at 1:38 PM
  • Buzz Stocks

 

 

 

Published on Apr 24, 2025 at 12:19 PM
  • Midday Market Check

Stocks are rallying this afternoon, with both Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) up triple digits -- the latter lifted by strong gains in megacap tech stocks like Nvidia (NVDA), Meta Platforms (META), Amazon.com (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), and Microsoft (MSFT). All three major indexes are on track for third-straight gains.

Despite the bounce, sentiment remains fragile. China said no trade talks are currently underway and called for the cancellation of “unilateral” U.S. tariffs -- a sharp contrast to recent remarks from President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggesting a more constructive tone. Meanwhile, March existing home sales dropped to their lowest level since 2009, even as home prices hit a new record.

Continue reading for more on today's market, including: 

Midday Market Stats April 242025

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (NYSE:CMG) stock is seeing unusual options activity, with 58,000 calls and 70,000 puts traded so far today -- 5 times the average intraday amount. Investors are opening new positions at the top three most popular contracts, led by the weekly 5/30 43-strike put. CMG was last seen 0.9% higher to trade at $49.16, but still sports an 18% year-to-date deficit and slid earlier after the company's first-quarter revenue miss, first same-store sales drop since 2020, and slashed sales forecast. 

ServiceNow Inc (NYSE:NOW) is one of the best-performing SPX components today, up 14.6% at $931.13 at last check on strong first-quarter results. The software name shared adjusted earnings of $4.04 per share on $3.09 billion in revenue, beating estimates. This bull gap placed NOW at its highest level since February, and helped it reclaim its 50-day moving average. The security is up 25.2% in the last 12 months but remains below its Jan. 28, all-time high of $1,198.09.

NOW Chart April 242025

TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL) is one of the worst performing stocks this afternoon, last seen down 16.7% at $9.15, and on pace to snap its four-day win streak with its worst day since 2022. The Chinese education name missed top- and bottom-line expectations for its fiscal fourth quarter. Despite 42.1% year-over-year revenue growth, the earnings miss and ongoing regulatory overhang spooked investors. TAL is down 8.6% in 2025.

Published on Apr 24, 2025 at 12:12 PM
  • Quantitative Analysis

Oil stock CNX Resources Corp (NYSE:CNX) is down 4.1% at $29.34 at last glance, after the company reported a first-quarter earnings beat but lower-than-expected revenue. There is still support below at the $280 level, however, as well as a historically bullish trendline.

The shares are within one standard deviation of their 260-day moving average, a trendline that, per Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, CNX has encountered for the first time in at least eight of the last 10 trading days, after spending at least 75% of the last six months above it. Within these parameters, three other signals occurred in the past three years. CNX was higher one month later 100% of the time after these events, averaging a 10.6% gain.   

CNX April 24

Plus, short interest represents 19.1% of the stock's available float, or over nine days' worth of pent-up buying power. Any upgrades could provide tailwinds as well, as 13 of the 14 analysts in coverage carry a "hold" or worse rating. 

Published on Apr 24, 2025 at 10:45 AM
  • Intraday Option Activity
  • Buzz Stocks

Pharmaceutical giant Merck & Co Inc (NYSE:MRK) has reversed its premarket lead, down 2% at $77.20 at last glance. The company posted better-than-expected first-quarter results but cut its profit outlook, expecting a $200 million dent from tariffs. Creeping back down toward its April 16 three-year low of $75.95, MRK is down 22.7% since the start of the year. 

So far today, MRK has seen 21,000 calls and 29,000 puts exchanged -- triple the overall options volume typically seen at this point. The May 75 put is the most popular, where new positions are being opened. 

Procter & Gamble Co (NYSE:PG) is brushing off a first-quarter earnings beat, down 5% at $157.37 at last glance. Revenue fell short of expectations, and the company slashed its full-year forecast amid economic uncertainty. CEO Jon Moeller told CNBC that there will likely be price increases amid tariffs, but that they're looking at sourcing options. 

Today's gap has PG testing a familiar floor around $158, an area that's been visited in July, January, and now April of the last year. The shares are now 5% off in 2025, and have ceded their year-over-year breakeven level today.

PG has seen 7,586 calls and 6,924 puts across the tape so far, which is double the intraday average put volume. The weekly 4/25 157.50-strike put is the most active contract, followed by the May 167.50 call. 

Published on Apr 24, 2025 at 9:13 AM
  • Opening View
 

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