Schaeffer's Top Stock Picks for '25

Caterpillar Stock Set for Another Post-Earnings Drop

Today could mark CAT's sixth straight negative earnings reaction

Jul 24, 2019 at 9:18 AM
facebook X logo linkedin


Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) stock is down 5% in electronic trading, after the big-cap construction concern reported adjusted second-quarter earnings of $2.83 per share. Not only was this below the consensus estimate, but it was down 4.7% from its year-ago profit, on slowing demand in China. Revenue of $14.43 billion fell just shy of expectations, while CAT also lowered its full-year profit forecast.

Today's pre-market downside has CAT stock set to open near the $131.50 per-share mark -- below its 200-day moving average. This trendline cushioned a pullback attempt earlier this month, though the shares spent most of May and June trading below it. This just underscores a choppy year for the equity, which was up 8.7% so far in 2019 through last night's close at $138.10.

A negative earnings reaction would just be more of the same for the Dow stock, which has closed lower the day after earnings in each of the past five quarters. Options traders have been bracing for a repeat of history, too. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), CAT's 10-day put/call volume ratio of 0.97 ranks in the 87th annual percentile, meaning puts have been bought to open relative to calls at a quicker-than-usual clip.

Analysts are bearish toward CAT, too, with the majority maintaining a "hold" or "strong sell" rating. There's still room for downgrades to come through, though, considering eight brokerages calling Caterpillar stock a "buy." Meanwhile, the average 12-month price target of $147.13 is a 6.5% premium to Tuesday's close.

 
 

Which of These SUB-$5 Stocks Could 26x From Here? (AD)

He called a rare 11x on Tesla…

Then he called a 26x on Workhorse…

Then an even rarer 35x on Nio Inc…

Now Tim Bohen says these 5 tiny “America First” stocks are next up in 2025.

They’re trading for less than $5 right now.

But thanks to Elon & Trump’s new alliance…

They could be off to the races in Trump’s first 100 days.

And right now for a limited time…

You can get the names & tickers for just $1 here. (AD)

10 Stock Picks FREE
 
 

Featured Articles from Trusted Partners:

🚀 One Stock Pick Could Change Everything in 2025
What if one stock pick could define your success next year? Get 10 expert-vetted stocks set for 2025—plus 5 bonus picks to watch now. Get the Report →

🆕 New Options Need New Trading Strategies
Zero-DTE options are the newest (and hottest) options to trade.  Professional traders have rushed into the market and are making a mint.  Don’t get left behind - learn all about these options, how to trade them, market setups to profit from, plus much more. Download now →

👀 Revealed: 3 Defensive Stocks for Your Portfolio
Worried about the market? This free report reveals 3 under-the-radar defensive stocks for uncertain times in any kind of economy.

 

 
 

FREE Report Download

 

Follow us on X, Follow us on Twitter