Schaeffer's Top Stock Picks for '25

Facebook Options Bears Pay Up as Technical Woes Continue

FB stock hit its lowest point since January 2017 earlier

Nov 19, 2018 at 2:38 PM
facebook X logo linkedin


The shares of Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) are down 5.8% today to trade at $131.40, fresh off a 22-month low of $131.27. In addition to a broader FAANG stock sell-off, the social media name could be reacting to another PR disaster, with the Wall Street Journal the latest media outlet to weigh in on CEO Mark Zuckerberg's leadership tactics (subscription required).

However, this negative price action mirrors FB stock's longer-term trajectory, with the shares down almost 31% from their late-July record high of $218.62. What's more, the equity is on track for its third straight monthly decline -- down 13% so far in November -- which would mark the longest losing streak of its kind on record.

fb stock daily chart nov 19

Against this backdrop, skepticism has been ramping up on the FAANG stock. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), FB's 10-day put/call volume ratio of 0.65 ranks in the 75th annual percentile, meaning puts have been bought to open relative to calls at a quicker-than-usual clip.

Today, around 204,000 calls and 151,000 puts are on the tape -- 1.5 times what's typically seen at this point. Most active is the weekly 11/23 140-strike call, where it looks like new positions are being sold to open. If this is the case, the call writers expect FB to close the week south of $140. Elsewhere, speculators may be purchasing new positions at the weekly 11/23 135-strike put, targeting bigger losses through Friday's 1 p.m. ET close.

Meanwhile, short-term options are pricing in elevated volatility expectations at the moment, per FB's 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (IV) of 40.1% -- in the 90th annual percentile. Plus, the stock's 30-day IV skew of 20% registers in the 98th percentile of its annual range, meaning puts have priced in higher volatility premiums relative to calls just 2% of the time within in the past year.
 
 

Which of These SUB-$5 Stocks Could 26x From Here? (AD)

He called a rare 11x on Tesla…

Then he called a 26x on Workhorse…

Then an even rarer 35x on Nio Inc…

Now Tim Bohen says these 5 tiny “America First” stocks are next up in 2025.

They’re trading for less than $5 right now.

But thanks to Elon & Trump’s new alliance…

They could be off to the races in Trump’s first 100 days.

And right now for a limited time…

You can get the names & tickers for just $1 here. (AD)

10 Stock Picks FREE
 
 

Featured Articles from Trusted Partners:

🚀 One Stock Pick Could Change Everything in 2025
What if one stock pick could define your success next year? Get 10 expert-vetted stocks set for 2025—plus 5 bonus picks to watch now. Get the Report →

🆕 New Options Need New Trading Strategies
Zero-DTE options are the newest (and hottest) options to trade.  Professional traders have rushed into the market and are making a mint.  Don’t get left behind - learn all about these options, how to trade them, market setups to profit from, plus much more. Download now →

👀 Revealed: 3 Defensive Stocks for Your Portfolio
Worried about the market? This free report reveals 3 under-the-radar defensive stocks for uncertain times in any kind of economy.

 

 
 

FREE Report Download

 

Follow us on X, Follow us on Twitter