Earnings Season Highlights

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A collection of noteworthy post-earnings reactions
Published on Feb 5, 2025 at 1:00 PM
  • The Week Ahead
          
Published on Feb 5, 2025 at 12:14 PM
Updated on Feb 5, 2025 at 12:17 PM
  • Midday Market Check

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Published on Feb 5, 2025 at 12:09 PM
  • Buzz Stocks
  • Intraday Option Activity

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASDAQ:AMD) is the talk of Wall Street today, last seen down 9.4% to trade at $108.23. The chipmaker is getting bashed after a lackluster fourth-quarter report that saw a top-line beat overshadowed by its data center arm reporting less-than-stellar revenue estimates. 

AMD earlier traded at a two-year low of $106.50, and is on track for its worst single-session decline since its Oct. 30 post-earnings bear gap. The shares have carved a channel of lower lows since October, and are now down 35.3% in the last 12 months. The days of trading up at $227.30 on March 8 of last year are long gone. 

With the chip stock stuck in a serious slide, a rush of bear notes today are exacerbating matters. No fewer than 17 brokerages trimmed their price targets, the worst coming from Wells Fargo to $140 from $165. Citigroup came in the hottest though, downgrading the security to "neutral" from "buy."

AMD Stock Chart

More revisions could weigh on the equity going forward. Of the 39 brokerages covering AMD, 29 maintain "buy" or better ratings, with zero "sells" on the books, while its 12-month consensus price target of $154.54 is a 43% premium to the stock's current perch.

Options traders are feasting today. At last check, over 1.07 million contracts have exchanged hands, volume that's triple the average intraday amount. Calls are winning out on an absolute basis, with the weekly 2/7 110-strike call the most popular. 

Published on Feb 5, 2025 at 10:58 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Pharmaceutical concern Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE:NVO) is up 4.9% at $86.63 at last glance. The company posted strong fourth-quarter results and better-than-expected full-year revenue for 2024, as weight-loss drugs Wegovy and Ozempic reeled in billions, though sales are expected to slow this year amid supply shortages. CEO Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen also spoke to journalists after the report, saying the Danish drugmaker is well-positioned to deal with potential tariffs by the U.S. 

On the charts, today's pop has NVO on track to snap a three-day losing streak. The stock still hasn't recovered from its mid-December bear gap, after which it hit a Jan. 17, 52-week low of $78.17 amid pressure at the $89 level. Year-over-year, the shares are down 26.2%. 

Options traders are chiming in on the event, with 45,000 calls and 18,000 puts exchanged so far -- three times the overall options volume typically seen at this point. The weekly 2/7 93-strike call is the most popular, with new positions being bought to open there. 

Analysts have yet to respond, but the majority are already bullish despite the stock's price action. Of the 15 in coverage, 11 carry a "strong buy," three a "hold," and one a "sell." 

Published on Feb 5, 2025 at 10:25 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOGL) stock is dragging Wall Street after the Big Tech giant reported a fourth-quarter revenue miss as its Google Cloud segment lagged. The company also revealed plans to invest $75 billion in capital expenditures this year to grow its artificial intelligence (AI) offerings, despite Chinese startup DeepSeek claiming it built an AI model at a substantially lower cost. 

GOOGL is down 8.3% to trade at $189.36 at last check, pacing for its biggest single-day percentage loss since October 2023 as it pulls back from yesterday's all-time high of $207.05. The equity is testing a floor at the $188 level that has been in place since late December, with added support at its 60-day moving average set to contain additional losses.

No fewer than 11 analysts have cut their price targets, the lowest from Wells Fargo to $184 from $190. Options traders lean overwhelmingly bullish, however, with GOOGL's 50-day call/put ratio of 3.60 back at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) standing higher than 97% of annual readings.

Drilling down to today's options activity, 287,000 calls and 152,000 puts have crossed the tape, which is five times the volume typically seen at this point. The most active contract is the weekly 2/7 195-strike call, where new positions are currently being bought to open.

Published on Feb 5, 2025 at 10:05 AM
  • Buzz Stocks
  • Intraday Option Activity

Walt Disney Co. (NYSE:DIS) stock is trading at $113.79 at last check, after the company’s fiscal first-quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations, but was overshadowed by concerns over its streaming business. Disney reported adjusted earnings of $1.76 per share on revenue of $24.69 billion in the quarter just ended, but saw a 1% drop in Disney+ subscribers and warned of a “modest decline” subscribers for the second quarter.

The equity's options pits are exploding after the event. Walt Disney stock has already seen more than 57,000 calls and 19,000 puts exchange hands -- 6 times the average intraday volume. New positions are opening at the most popular contract, the weekly 2/7 120-strike call.

Heading into today, DIS was already struggling year-to-date and now sits just above breakeven for 2025. Long-term, shares remain up approximately 14% year-over-year, with support from the 20-day moving average helping to limit today's decline.

It's worth noting the Walt Disney stock has a history of exceeding volatility expectations, as evidenced by its Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) rating of 93 out of 100. In simpler terms, now may be a good time to weigh in on DIS' next move with options.

 

Published on Feb 5, 2025 at 9:10 AM
  • Opening View
 
Published on Feb 4, 2025 at 4:28 PM
  • Market Recap
 
Published on Feb 4, 2025 at 1:52 PM
  • Technical Analysis

Uber Technologies Inc (NYSE:UBER) is preparing for its latest quarterly report, due out before the open tomorrow, January 5. Analysts appear optimistic ahead of the event, expecting earnings of 50 cents per share and year-over-year revenue growth of 18.2% to $11.74 billion. 

Though UBER is up 15.7% year to date, the $70 level has kept a lid on on gains since the start of January. The shares also touched the overhead 80-day moving during today's rise, so there is plenty of potential resistance for tomorrow's earnings volatility. At last glance, the stock was up 3.7% at $69.95. 

UBER Feb4

The equity's post-earnings history leans positive, with five of the last eight next-day moves ending in gains. This time around, the options pits are pricing in a 12.3% swing, regardless of direction, which is larger than the 6.6% move the stock has averaged over the last two years. 

Call traders are picking up UBER ahead of the event. So far, 181,000 calls have been exchanged, which is double the call volume typically seen at this point. The February 80 call is the most popular, followed by the weekly 2/7 70-strike call, with new positions opening at the latter. 

Calls have ruled the roost longer term as well. This is per the equity's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 3.15 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX). This ratio ranks in the 94th annual percentile, indicating a heavy preference for calls versus puts within the past 10 weeks.

Published on Feb 4, 2025 at 12:07 PM
  • Midday Market Check

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Published on Feb 4, 2025 at 11:43 AM
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Editor's Pick
 
Published on Feb 4, 2025 at 11:28 AM
  • Buzz Stocks

PayPal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:PYPL) stock is down 9.9% to trade at $80.61 at last check, brushing off a top- and bottom-line beat for the fourth quarter due to contracting margins. The fintech giant also announced an upbeat 2025 forecast amid Venmo growth.

PYPL is on track for its worst single-day percentage loss since in about a year, and earlier fell to $80,20, its lowest level since November. The shares still sport a 31.5% year-over-year lead, though, and long-term support from their 120-day moving average could contain today's losses.

The options pits are buzzing, with 130,000 calls and 48,000 puts exchanged so far today, which is eight times the intraday average volume. The most popular contract is the weekly 2/7 90-strike call, where new positions are being sold to open.

Now looks like an great time to weigh in with options. This is per the stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) sits at a low 6 out of 100, making it a prime premium-selling candidate

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